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2006-11-07
What Would Google Decide?
This is merely an experiment. Please do try to keep your wits about you.
The experiment is statistically flawed in all the many ways you feel compelled to tell me about; I already know them.
The experiment didn't exhaust all the queries you feel compelled to tell me about; you'd be wiser to post at Quicktopic.
As is our wont, we support queries that are Crude But Effective(tm). Most of these results seemed on point.
"vote yes on proposal 1" 2006 michigan
"vote no on proposal 1" 2006 michigan
This is the array of near-insanity brought together by the referendum process. In their supreme laziness, our Legislature permitted all these initiatives to reach the ballot without bothering to negotiate any alternative language, as our state Constitution suggests the Legislature should do.
Proposal 1, Recreation Funds
Proposal 2, Affirmative Action
Proposal 3, Dove Hunting
Proposal 4, Eminent Domain
Proposal 5, Education Funds
Data in the first column below were gathered 2006-11-07 07:00 EDT, as Michigan's polls opened.
Data in the second column below were gathered twenty-four hours later, reflecting the unofficial Michigan county tallies linked from the Michigan Secretary of State's office, then timestamped "7:00:36 am."
| As polls open, Google sez... |
+ 24 hours |
Result? |
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Proposal 1 will pass, 58% to 42%:
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80% to 20% |
Correct; Google underrepresented "yes" votes. |
1 - 10 of about 37 for "vote yes on proposal 1"...
1 - 10 of about 27 for "vote no on proposal 1"...
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2,509,553
620,154
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Proposal 2 will not pass, 43% to 57%:
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58% to 42% |
Reverse! (Reflecting, perhaps, MCRI voter fraud?) |
1 - 10 of about 481 for "vote yes on proposal 2"...
1 - 10 of about 630 for "vote no on proposal 2"...
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1,844,152
1,331,124
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Proposal 3 will not pass, 32% to 68%:
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32% to 68% |
Perfect! |
1 - 10 of about 141 for "vote yes on proposal 3"...
1 - 10 of about 297 for "vote no on proposal 3"...
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997,678
2,158,833
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Proposal 4 will pass, 79% to 21%:
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80% to 20% |
Perfect! |
1 - 10 of about 115 for "vote yes on proposal 4"...
1 - 10 of about 31 for "vote no on proposal 4"...
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2,512,082
616,988
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Proposal 5 will not pass, 7% to 93%:
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38% to 62% |
Correct; Google underrepresented "yes" votes. |
1 - 10 of about 22 for "vote yes on proposal 5"...
1 - 10 of about 277 for "vote no on proposal 5"...
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1,180,298
1,936,494
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Thus, I'll conclude only that Google predicted the outcome as well as the millions of dollars worth of anchorpersons and consultants who've been beating us up intellectually since August.
Let's hope nobody in any major party realizes this might work! They'd reprogram those robocallers to stop dialing and start posting, instead. You thought blog comment spam was bad already?
I appreciate the quote by Dick Armey just now, when Diane Rehm asked him, "What happened last night?" Sez Armey: "It was what in Texas we'd call a good old-fashioned butt kicking."
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